Following the U.S. killing of Qasem Soleimani, head of the Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps-Quds Force (IRGC-QF), the United States and
Iran are involved in an escalating conflict. What is badly needed now
is a coherent long-term U.S. strategy to deal with Iran in ways that
protect U.S. national security and leverage U.S. partners. The United
States’ “maximum pressure” campaign has not led to a change in
Iran’s behavior—at least not yet—though U.S. sanctions have
severely damaged Iran’s economy. As this CSIS report highlights with
new data and analysis, the IRGC-QF has supported a growing number of
non-state fighters in Yemen, Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, Afghanistan, and
Pakistan—including nearly a 50 percent increase since 2016. Thanks
to Iran, these forces are better equipped with more sophisticated
weapons and systems. This report also uses satellite imagery to
identify an expansion of IRGC-QF-linked bases in countries like Iran
and Lebanon to train non-state fighters. Iran has constructed more
sophisticated and longer-range ballistic and cruise missiles and
conducted missile attacks against countries like Saudi Arabia. In
addition, Iran has developed offensive cyber capabilities and used
them against the United States and its partners. In the nuclear arena,
Iran has ended commitments it made to limit uranium enrichment,
production, research, and expansion—raising the prospect of Iranian
nuclear weapons. Moving forward, the United States should implement a
containment strategy against Iran that attempts to de-escalate the
current military situation and work toward achieving several goals:
Prevent Iran from becoming a regional hegemon capable of dominating
other states in the Middle East.Stop nuclear proliferation in the
region and prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, including
thwarting Iran from pursuing weapons-grade uranium enrichment, warhead
development, and plutonium reprocessing.Curb significant Iranian
military, political, and ideological expansion in the region,
including the export of Iran’s revolutionary ideology.Encourage a
process of change inside Iran toward a more pluralistic political and
economic system in which the power of the clerical establishment is
gradually reduced. This report highlights a range of weaknesses that
make Iran vulnerable to containment and lays out the political,
military, economic, and informational components of such a strategy.
The United States needs to credibly demonstrate that its policy toward
Iran is not a blueprint for an endless struggle, but instead an effort
to encourage Iran to be more democratic and open, as political and
economic change must be driven by Iranians themselves.
                                
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                                                          Understanding Iran's Power and Exploiting Its Vulnerabilities
                                                      
 
                                              Produktdetaljer
ISBN
                    9781442281509
                  Publisert
                     2020 
                  Utgave
                     1. utgave 
                  Utgiver
                    Bloomsbury USA
                  Språk
                    
  Product language
              Engelsk
          Format
                    
  Product format
              Digital bok
          Forfatter