There are several reasons why probabilistic machine learning
represents the next-generation ML framework and technology for finance
and investing. This generative ensemble learns continually from small
and noisy financial datasets while seamlessly enabling probabilistic
inference, retrodiction, prediction, and counterfactual reasoning.
Probabilistic ML also lets you systematically encode personal,
empirical, and institutional knowledge into ML models. Whether they're
based on academic theories or ML strategies, all financial models are
subject to modeling errors that can be mitigated but not eliminated.
Probabilistic ML systems treat uncertainties and errors of financial
and investing systems as features, not bugs. And they quantify
uncertainty generated from inexact inputs and outputs as probability
distributions, not point estimates. This makes for realistic financial
inferences and predictions that are useful for decision-making and
risk management. Unlike conventional AI, these systems are capable of
warning us when their inferences and predictions are no longer useful
in the current market environment. By moving away from flawed
statistical methodologies and a restrictive conventional view of
probability as a limiting frequency, you’ll move toward an intuitive
view of probability as logic within an axiomatic statistical framework
that comprehensively and successfully quantifies uncertainty. This
book shows you how.
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A Primer to Generative AI with Python
Produktdetaljer
ISBN
9781492097631
Publisert
2023
Utgave
1. utgave
Utgiver
O'Reilly Media, Inc.
Språk
Product language
Engelsk
Format
Product format
Digital bok
Forfatter