Computer modeling pervades today all fields of science. For the study
of com plex systems, such as the environment, it has become an
indispensable tool. But it is also a tool that is often misunderstood
and misinterpreted. These dangers are particularly pronounced in the
environmental sciences, an area of interest and concern not only to
scientists, but also to the general public, the media, policy makers
and powerful interest groups. We cannot experiment with our planet.
The only quantitative tool available for the assessment of the impact
of our actions today on the future environment and living conditions
of later generations is numerical modeling. The better the general
understanding of the potential and limitations of numerical models,
the better the chances for a rational analysis and discussion of
environmental problems and poli cies. But in addition to the more
recent political issue of human impacts on the environment, numerical
models play an important role for the forecasting of natural
environmental variability, such as tides and storm surges or the
weathcr, or for the interpretation of environmental changes in the
past, such as the relation between the Late Maunder Minimum of the
sunspot cycle from 1675 to 1710 and the winter half year cooling at
the end of the 17th century. The reasons for misunderstandings and
misinterpretations of numerical model results are manifold.
Les mer
Building Knowledge
Produktdetaljer
ISBN
9783662063811
Publisert
2020
Utgiver
Vendor
Springer
Språk
Product language
Engelsk
Format
Product format
Digital bok
Forfatter