Quantitative risk assessments cannot eliminate risk, nor can they
resolve trade-offs. They can, however, guide principled risk
management and reduction - if the quality of assessment is high and
decision makers understand how to use it. This book builds a unifying
scientific framework for discussing and evaluating the quality of risk
assessments and whether they are fit for purpose. Uncertainty is a
central topic. In practice, uncertainties about inputs are rarely
reflected in assessments, with the result that many safety measures
are considered unjustified. Other topics include the meaning of a
probability, the use of probability models, the use of Bayesian ideas
and techniques, and the use of risk assessment in a practical
decision-making context. Written for professionals, as well as
graduate students and researchers, the book assumes basic probability,
statistics and risk assessment methods. Examples make concepts
concrete, and three extended case studies show the scientific
framework in action.
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The Scientific Platform
Produktdetaljer
ISBN
9781139036894
Publisert
2014
Utgiver
Cambridge University Press
Språk
Product language
Engelsk
Format
Product format
Digital bok
Forfatter