In an uncertain age in which everyone from individual investors and CEOs to journalists and heads of state seems at times to be grasping in the dark for insights to where we are heading, Ian Bremmer and Preston Keat have given us a unique roadmap, a forecasting toolkit that shines a light on our possible futures.

Advance Praise from Robert Kagan, author of 'The Return of History and the End of Dreams'

Wary of political risk and what it can do for you? Read this book which provides, replete with significant examples, how this growing art, with touches of science, can help you understand markets, investment climate, and the many changing economic circumstances impacted by critical political and security events around the world. Bremmer and Keat, both masters of this medium with many years experience, tell us how to understand political events and to gauge their impact on the critical business and economic decisions that many of us must make daily.

Advance Praise from Thomas R Pickering, former US Ambassador to the United Nations

Bremmer and Keat are right: economics produces cycles and even crises, but it is politics that has the power to turn crises into profound and lasting dramas. Their book should be essential reading for anyone involved in international business even-perhaps especially-in places that seem politically stable.

Advance Praise from Bill Emmott, editor-in-chief of 'The Economist' 1996-2003 and author of 'Rivals'

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Political risk has become increasingly complex, and 'The Fat Tail' provides a truly new way to quantitatively assess it in established and emerging markets. It is essential reading for any CEO with multi-national interests. Advance Praise from Randall Stephenson, Chairman, CEO and President, AT&T Inc.

Civil wars, acts of terror, seizures of private industries--the world is a dangerous place for investors. Indeed, it is more dangerous today than ten or twenty years ago, because of the growing importance of emerging and frontier markets. Even many relatively passive or risk averse investors are exposed in places like Turkey, China, and Brazil. But while they recognize the importance of political risks, until now they have not the right tools to analyze, evaluate, and predict them. This groundbreaking book is the first to both identify the wide range of political risks that global firms face and show investors how to effectively manage them. Written by two of the world's leading figures in political risk management, it explains that while the world remains exceedingly risky for businesses, it is by no means incomprehensible. Political risk is unpredictable, but it is easier to analyze and manage than most people think. Applying the lessons of world history, Bremmer and Keat survey a vast range of contemporary risky situations, from stable markets like the United States or Japan, where politically driven regulation can still dramatically effect business, to more precarious regions like Iran, China, Russia, Turkey, Mexico, and Brazil, where private property is less secure and energy politics sparks constant volatility. The book sheds light on a wide array of political risks--risks that stem from great power rivalries, terrorist groups, government takeover of private property, weak leaders and internal strife, and even the "black swans" that defy prediction. But more importantly, the authors provide a wealth of unique methods, tools, and concepts to help corporations, money managers, and policy makers understand political risk, showing when and how political risk analysis works--and when it does not. Authored by Ian Bremmer (author of the bestselling The J-Curve) and Preston Keat, the president and research director (respectively) of Eurasia Group, the world's largest political risk consultancy, Machiavelli and the Markets is an indispensable guide for anyone involved in the international economy, from major multinational corporations to small businesses simply trying to understand the risks that come with exports and imports.
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"The Fat Tail delivers practical wisdom on the impact of political risk on firms of every description and valuable advice on how to use it. Ian Bremmer and Preston Keat offer innovative thinking and useful insight that will help business decision-makers find fresh answers to questions they may not yet know they have."--Fareed Zakaria, best-selling author of The Post-American World "Political risk has become increasingly complex, and The Fat Tail provides a truly new way to quantitatively assess it in established and emerging markets. It is essential reading for any CEO with multinational interests."--Randall Stephenson, Chairman, CEO and President, AT&T Inc. "Bremmer and Keat are right: economics produces cycles and even crises, but it is politics that has the power to turn crises into profound and lasting dramas. Their book should be essential reading for anyone involved in international business even--perhaps especially--in places that seem politically stable."--Bill Emmott, editor-in-chief of The Economist 1996-2003 and author of Rivals "In an uncertain age in which everyone from individual investors and CEOs to journalists and heads of state seems at times to be grasping in the dark for insights to where we are heading, Ian Bremmer and Preston Keat have given us a unique roadmap, a forecasting toolkit that shines a light on our possible futures."--Robert Kagan, author of The Return of History and the End of Dreams "Wary of political risk and what it can do for you? Read this book which provides, replete with significant examples, how this growing art, with touches of science, can help you understand markets, investment climate, and the many changing economic circumstances impacted by critical political and security events around the world. Bremmer and Keat, both masters of this medium with many years experience, tell us how to understand political events and to gauge their impact on the critical business and economic decisions that many of us must make daily."--Thomas R Pickering, former Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs and US Ambassador to Jordan, Nigeria, El Salvador, Israel, the United Nations, India and Russia "Bremmer and Keat, executives at Eurasia Group, explore how global political risks influence the business world in this cogently argued analysis. The book details key areas corporations must be wary of in order to survive in the new global economy including foreign laws and regulation, government changes, civil unrest, expropriation, terrorism and war. With excellent examples, the authors demonstrate how planning for such political developments may make or break a company."--Publishers Weekly "In these times of heightened geopolitical risk, political knowledge has become a hard currency. Ian Bremmer and Preston Keat have made an important contribution to the world of risk mitigation and business continuity in The Fat Tail."--Muhtar Kent, President and Chief Executive Officer, The Coca-Cola Company "Ian Bremmer and Preston Keat have worked for years on the cutting edge of political risk management, and The Fat Tail provides us with a definite survey of the subject. It will be indispensible for global investors."--Nouriel Roubini, Professor of Economics and International Business, Stern School of Business, New York University
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Selling point: Author platform: Penned by renowned figures in the area of political risk: Bremmer and Keat are the president and director of research for the Eurasia Group, the top firm for political-risk consulting, and Bremmer's recent book on political stability, The J-Curve, was a bestseller for Simon & Schuster. Selling point: Distills and demystifies complex analytic tool sets and makes them relevant to the real world of commerce and policy. Selling point: Provides the first systematic and methodologically sound approach to political risk for both investors and policymakers.
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Ian Bremmer is the President of Eurasia Group and author of The J Curve: A New Way to Understand Why Nations Rise and Fall. He is a contributing editor for Foreign Policy and The National Interest. Preston Keat is Director of Research at Eurasia Group. He presently teaches at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs. For more information, please visit www.fattailbook.com.
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Selling point: Author platform: Penned by renowned figures in the area of political risk: Bremmer and Keat are the president and director of research for the Eurasia Group, the top firm for political-risk consulting, and Bremmer's recent book on political stability, The J-Curve, was a bestseller for Simon & Schuster. Selling point: Distills and demystifies complex analytic tool sets and makes them relevant to the real world of commerce and policy. Selling point: Provides the first systematic and methodologically sound approach to political risk for both investors and policymakers.
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Produktdetaljer

ISBN
9780195328554
Publisert
2009
Utgiver
Oxford University Press Inc
Vekt
544 gr
Høyde
241 mm
Bredde
159 mm
Dybde
25 mm
Aldersnivå
P, 06
Språk
Product language
Engelsk
Format
Product format
Innbundet
Antall sider
272

Biografisk notat

Ian Bremmer is the President of Eurasia Group and author of the bestselling The J Curve: A New Way to Understand Why Nations Rise and Fall (http://www.economist.com/books/ displaystory.cfm?story_id=7854060). He is a regular contributor to The International Herald Tribune and Contributing Editor for The National Interest. Preston Keat is Director of Research at Eurasia Group, and a commentator on CNN, FoxNews, and CNBC.