A must read for everyone who has ever wondered 'What If?' and felt unprepared to rigorously generate possible answers ... The chapter on intelligent systems is especially timely, and covers artificial intelligence and machine learning from a fresh perspective.

Jim Spohrer, Director, Cognitive OpenTech at IBM

Computing Possible Futures provides a compelling approach to systems thinking, as well as an array of tools for exploring what might happen and leading indicators of likely futures.

Denis A. Cortese MD, Foundation Professor, Arizona State University

The hope is that readers will discuss this book and develop a 'shared mental model' of computational modeling in the process, which will greatly enhance their chances of success.

MathSciNet

Mathematical modelling and simulation is an increasingly powerful area of mathematics and computer science, which in recent years has been fuelled by the unprecedented access to larger than ever stores of data. These techniques have an increasing number of applications in the professional and political spheres, and people try to predict the results of certain courses of action as accurately as possible. Computing Possible Futures explores the use of models on everyday phenomena such as waiting in lines and driving a car, before expanding the model's complexity to look at how large-scale computational models can help imagine big scale "what-if" scenarios like the effect self-driving cars on the US economy. The successes and failures of complex real world problems are examined, and it is shown how few, if any, failures are due to model errors or computational difficulties. It is also shown how real life decision makers have addressed important problems and used their model-based understanding of possible futures to inform these decisions. Written in an entertaining and accessible way, Computing Possible Futures will help those concerned about the futurity of their decisions to understand what fundamentally needs to be done, why it needs to be done, and how to do it.
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Computing Possible Futures provides an easy to digest tour of modeling, simulation, analytics, and AI and how these technologies can enable better decision making.
1: Introduction 2: Elements of Modeling 3: Economic Bubbles 4: Markets & Competitors 5: Technology Adoption 6: System Failures 7: Health & Well Being 8: Intelligent Systems 9: Enterprise Transformation 10: Exploring Possible Futures
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A wide range of modeling paradigms are addressed and explained with detailed illustrations rather than pure mathematics, making content easier to digest Brings material to life with illustrations of how computational models have supported important real life decisions Provides broad coverage of systems engineering, operations research, analytics, and AI, all applied in the context of a human-centered approach Makes a breadth of conceptual material easy to digest
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William B. Rouse is Research Professor within the McCourt School of Public Policy at Georgetown University and Professor Emeritus, and former chair, of the School of Industrial and Systems Engineering at Georgia Institute of Technology. He has written many books on modelling complex systems and enterprises, technology management and innovation. He lives in Washington, DC.
Les mer
A wide range of modeling paradigms are addressed and explained with detailed illustrations rather than pure mathematics, making content easier to digest Brings material to life with illustrations of how computational models have supported important real life decisions Provides broad coverage of systems engineering, operations research, analytics, and AI, all applied in the context of a human-centered approach Makes a breadth of conceptual material easy to digest
Les mer

Produktdetaljer

ISBN
9780198846420
Publisert
2019
Utgiver
Oxford University Press
Vekt
502 gr
Høyde
238 mm
Bredde
161 mm
Dybde
18 mm
Aldersnivå
P, 06
Språk
Product language
Engelsk
Format
Product format
Innbundet
Antall sider
202

Forfatter

Biografisk notat

William B. Rouse is Research Professor within the McCourt School of Public Policy at Georgetown University and Professor Emeritus, and former chair, of the School of Industrial and Systems Engineering at Georgia Institute of Technology. He has written many books on modelling complex systems and enterprises, technology management and innovation. He lives in Washington, DC.