Strategy and Defence Planning: Meeting the Challenge of Uncertainty
explores and examines why and how security communities prepare
purposefully for their future defence. The author explains that
defence planning is the product of interplay among political process,
historical experience, and the logic of strategy. The theory of
strategy best reveals both the nature and the working of defence
planning. Political 'ends', strategic 'ways', and military 'means' all
fed by reigning, if not always recognized, assumptions, organize the
subject well with a template that can serve any time, place, and
circumstance. The book is designed to help understanding of what can
appear to be a forbiddingly complex as well as technical subject. A
good part of the problem for officials charged with defence planning
duties is expressed in the second part of the book's title. The real
difficulty, which rarely is admitted by those tasked with defence
planning duty, is that defence planning can only be guesswork. But,
because defence preparation is always expensive, not untypically is
politically unpopular, yet obviously can be supremely important,
claims to knowledge about the truly unknowable persist. In truth, we
cannot do defence planning competently, because our ignorance of the
future precludes understanding of what our society will be shown by
future events to need. The challenge faced by the author was to
identify ways in which our problems with the inability to know the
future in any detail in advance-the laws of nature, in other words-may
best be met and mitigated. Professor Gray argues that our
understanding of human nature, of politics, and of strategic history,
does allow us to make prudent choices in defence planning that
hopefully will prove 'good enough'.
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Meeting the Challenge of Uncertainty
Produktdetaljer
ISBN
9780191005350
Publisert
2016
Utgiver
Oxford University Press Academic UK
Språk
Product language
Engelsk
Format
Product format
Digital bok
Forfatter